Wednesday, 17 January 2018

The Iran Nuclear Deal At Two: A Status Report

by the International Crisis Group

It could have been worse. President Trump’s 12 January decision to waive sanctions while threatening to withdraw from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) – the July 2015 nuclear agreement between Iran and the five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany (the P5+1) – unless Congress and Europe agree to unilaterally alter its terms, leaves the deal in the state of limbo it acquired shortly after his election. Still, given his unpredictability, manifest hostility to the deal, abhorrence at the thought of validating anything that bears his predecessor’s mark and the unrest that has shaken Iran, speculation had been rampant that he would announce the agreement’s demise.

Thursday, 10 November 2016

Trump election puts Iran nuclear deal on shaky ground


By  WASHINGTON

(Reuters) - Donald Trump's election as president raises the prospect the United States will pull out of the nuclear pact it signed last year with Iran, alienating Washington from its allies and potentially freeing Iran to act on its ambitions.


Outgoing President Barack Obama's administration touted the deal, a legacy foreign policy achievement, as a way to suspend Tehran's suspected drive to develop atomic weapons. In return Obama, a Democrat, agreed to a lifting of most sanctions.

The deal, harshly opposed by Republicans in Congress, was reached as a political commitment rather than a treaty ratified by lawmakers, making it vulnerable to a new U.S. president, such as Trump, who might disagree with its terms.

A Republican, Trump ran for the White House opposing the deal but contradictory statements made it unclear how he would act. In an upset over Democrat Hillary Clinton, Trump won on Tuesday and will succeed Obama on Jan. 20.

A businessman-turned-politician who has never held public office, Trump called the nuclear pact a "disaster" and "the worst deal ever negotiated" during his campaign and said it could lead to a "nuclear holocaust." 

In a speech to the pro-Israel lobby group AIPAC in March, Trump declared that his “Number-One priority” would be to “dismantle the disastrous deal with Iran.” 

He said he would have negotiated a better deal, with longer restrictions, but somewhat paradoxically, he criticized remaining U.S. sanctions that prevent American companies from dealing with Iran.

By contrast, he has conceded it would be hard to destroy a deal enshrined in a United Nations resolution. In August 2015, he said he would not “rip up” the nuclear deal, but that he would “police that contract so tough they don’t have a chance.”

Iran denies ever having considered developing atomic weapons. But experts said any U.S. violation of the deal would allow Iran also to pull back from its commitments to curb nuclear development.


Those commitments include reducing the number of its centrifuges by two-thirds, capping its level of uranium enrichment well below the level needed for bomb-grade material, reducing its enriched uranium stockpile from around 10,000 kg to 300 kg for 15 years, and submitting to international inspections to verify its compliance.

'DIVISIVE DEAL'

“Say goodbye to the Iran deal,” said Richard Nephew, a former U.S. negotiator with Iran now at Columbia University.

“There is very little likelihood that it stays, either because of a deliberate decision to tear it up by Trump, or steps that the U.S. takes which prompt an Iranian walk back.”

The spokesman of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, Behrouz Kamalvandi, was quoted as saying by Tasnim news agency: "Iran is prepared for any change," adding that Iran would try to stand by the deal.

The nuclear deal was divisive in Iran, with hardliners opposed to better relations with the West arguing that pragmatist President Hassan Rouhani was giving up too much of the country’s nuclear infrastructure for too little relief.

Rouhani said on Wednesday the U.S. election results would have no effect on Tehran's policies, state news agency IRNA quoted him as saying. 


Source:  

http://reuters.com/article/idUSKBN13427E







Saturday, 24 September 2016

A year after the nuclear deal, Iranian optimism turns sour

  
 A year ago, Iran seemed on the verge of a new relationship with the United States and the world.

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani leaves the podium after speaking during the 71st session of the United Nations General Assembly at U.N. headquarters in New York on Sept. 22, 2016. (Seth Wenig/AP)

In his address to the United Nations last fall, President Hassan Rouhani said the nuclear deal just signed, lifting sanctions and setting limits on Iran’s nuclear program, was a foundation for change.

Sunday, 21 August 2016

Iran executes nuclear scientist who returned from US



by Agence France-Presse 7 AUGUST 2016 • 3:03PM

Iran has executed a nuclear scientist convicted of handing over "confidential and vital" information to the United States, a judicial spokesman said on Sunday.

Shahram Amiri, the Iranian nuclear scientist, speaks to journalists after returning to Tehran in 2010. His execution has now been announced. CREDIT: REUTERS


"Shahram Amiri was hanged for revealing the country's top secrets to the enemy," Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejeie told reporters in Tehran.

Sunday, 7 August 2016

Will Iran nuclear deal make the Middle East a less safe place?

Image copyrightAFP
Image captionIran called the deal an "historic agreement" - Israel said it was an "historic mistake for the world"
The international negotiators who agreed the Iranian nuclear deal took their talks right down to the wire.
Then - time after time - they moved the wire and kept right on talking.
But in large parts of the Middle East, where the prospect of a stronger Iran is viewed with dread, there was never any real sense of suspense.
Israel, Saudi Arabia and the other states who feel threatened by the terms of the new deal have been resigned for months to the idea that the US-led world powers were determined to have an agreement and were prepared to offer major concessions to get one.
Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who sees Iran as a mortal enemy, has already said that the agreement shows the dangers of being ready to do a deal at any price, and the Sunni Arab states of the Gulf, who see Iran as a dangerous and aggressive neighbour, will also feel that a much, much harder bargain could have been struck.
An Israeli minister, Danny Danon, put it in lurid terms.
"This agreement is not just bad for Israel, it's dangerous for the entire free world. Giving the world's largest supporter of terrorism a free pass in developing nuclear weapons is like providing a pyromaniac with matches," he said.

Source: BBC 

Wednesday, 20 April 2016

نامحرمی مردم ایران در مورد مسائل هسته ای و ترکمانچای هسته ای ایران


محسن غفاری کهیایی

با توجه به توافقات اخیر هسته ای ایران، مصاحبه ای را با جناب پرفسور مهران مصطفوی ترتیب داده ایم که در
پرفسور مهران مصطفوی 
زیر آمده است. او
استاد شیمی و فیزیک دانشگاه پاریس و معاون علمی در مرکز ملی پژوهشهای علمی فرانسه و مسئول گروه پژوهش در باره واکنشهای شیمیائی فوق العاده سریع ایحاد شده در مواد توسط تشعشعات هسته ای و استاد افتخاری دانشگاه توکیو در ژاپن است. از آقای مصطفوی به عنوان کارشناس مسائل هسته ای و مخالف فعالیت های هسته ای ایران، بیش از دهها مقاله و مصاحبه در نشریات و وب سایت های مختلف و معتبر انتشار یافته است. متن زیر برگردان مصاحبه تلفنی بنده با ایشان است که دلیل اهمیت موضوع و جامع بودن پاسخ های ایشان، به صورت کامل برای خوانندگان وبلاگ کمپین نجات بوشهر و تمامی ایرانیان قرار داده ام.