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| Written By A.M.313 |
Iran
signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPN ) in 1968, ratified it in 1970
and subsequently signed the Additional Protocol in 2003 but has not yet ratified
it. In co-operating with Egypt, Iran introduced a proposal for a Middle East
Nuclear-Weapon-
Free-Zone
( MENWFZ ) in the United Nations General Assembly in 1974, which has since then
adopted an annual resolution supporting the goal of such zone. Since 1980 the resolution
has been supported by all the states of the region and to this day it continues
to be adopted annually by consensus.
Military
or not ...
A
significant international dispute has emerged over Iran's nuclear programme.
Iran insists that its nuclear endeavour are intended only to guarantee an
independent nuclear energy capacity and further argues that there is no
substantive evidence of a nuclear weapons programme; it stoutly denies that its
nuclear programme is directed towards the acquisition of fissile materials.
Despite these assurance however, the IAEA remains concerned about the scale and
persistence of Iran' s nuclear venture.
There
have been problems with transparency of Iran's nuclear programme. Since 2002
Iran has itself revealed a number of previously unknown facilities and
activities to the IAEA. And a number of these, including the development of the
facility at Natanz and attempts to purchase nuclear materials and equipment,
have lead to doubts about the past purpose of Iran' nuclear programme.
Fears are
now that with sanctions and continued threats of military action that the
Iranian nuclear programme will be driven back underground and international
inspections by the IAEA will be halted.
However
whether or not Iran intends to develop a weapons programme, this dispute highlights
the essential problem with any nuclear programme. The pathway to a bomb is the same
as the pathway to nuclear energy; there is no such thing as a proliferation
resistant nuclear programme. And this is the same for any nuclear programme
anywhere in the world.
Should a
current or future government decide it wanted to do so, it's easy. The only way
to actually achieve a world free of nuclear weapons is to achieve a world free
of all nuclear technology.
Known
nuclear facilities in Iran
A) Tehran
Nuclear Research Centre
B) kelaye
Electric Company - Tehran
C)
Isfahan Nuclear Technology Centre
D)
Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant
E) Natanz
F) Karaj
Nuclear Research Centre
G)
Lashkarabad
H) Arak
I) Anarak
J) Gachin
K)
Saghand
L)
Farayand Technique
M) Pars
Trash
Other
sites:
N)
Kolahdouz Industrial Complex In Tehran
O)
Lavizan-Shian Physics Research Centre
P)
Parchin Military Complex
Q) Ardkan
Main
nuclear facilities in Iran
Potential
Hazards of Iranian Nuclear
Facilities
As with
all nuclear programmes around the world, there are a range of environmental and
human health risks associated with Iran's nuclear facilities.
As the
development of Iran's nuclear programme matures and facilities have been completed/commissioned,
risk of incident grows. In addition, there is serious concern about the
likelihood of a military strike to 'take out' Iran's nuclear programme.
Attention must also be given to the potential impact of sanctions on the
ability of Iran to source the best technology, safety equipment etc to manage
its nuclear programme. Further, Iran is an area of seismic risk, with the
likelihood of earthquakes in the region creating additional risks for its nuclear
programme.
Hazard 1)
Tehran
Nuclear Research Centre
The TNRC
is located in a resident part of Tehran, approximately 5 km north of the
centre.
The
Centre includes the Tehran Nuclear research reactor, a radioisotope production
facility and a radioactive waste handling facility.
The
dominant known hazard on the site comes from the research reactor core, and the
older used nuclear reactor core also stored on the site.
As a
major nuclear research facility in Iran one of the their main centres of
nuclear expertise it might be considered a politically worthy target for any
military strike. Iran has already officially expressed its concern to the IAEA
about the threat of armed attack on its nuclear programme.
Being a
relatively low-energy reactor, an accident involving an explosion of sufficient
force to release fission product particles into the air is unlikely. However, a
release of some of the radioisotope being produce in the reactor could occur,
in which case sheltering and even evacuation from an area several kilometres
from the plant would be necessary.
In the
case if military attack, the severity of damage could be extreme, with severe
results for the near- by residential areas, definitely requiring countermeasure
such as potassium iodate tablet provision, sheltering and evacuation. The scale
of such countermeasures would depend on the exact conditions on the day of the
accident but given the location of
TNRC it
is likely to have a significant impact on the population of Tehran.
Hazard 2)
Isfahan
Nuclear Technology Centre
The
Nuclear Technology Research Centre in Isfahan is Iran's largest nuclear
research centre, and is said to employ as many as 3000 scientists. 41
kilometres south of Tehran this world famous city of approx 1.5 million people
is one of the most significant tourist’s attractions in Iran. It is also home
for four research reactors, the fuel manufacturing plant that will fabricate
fuel assemblies for the reactors in Arak and Bushehr and the Uranium Conversion
Facility, creating UF6 for the enrichment at Natanz.
The
dominant radiological hazards on the site are the small research reactor cores.
A greater risk comes from the uranium ore and UF6 gas used and produced at the
facility.
Recent
reports from Iran indicate that 250 tonnes of UF6 gas is being stored in
tunnels below the facility.
The
chances of a military strike is high. Accidents have occurred in enrichment
facilities around the world. For example in 1986 an accident occurred at the
Sequoyah Fuels enrichment facility in Oklahama USA. One worker died and 42
other workers and 100 nearby residents were hospitalised with evidence of kind
eh damage from uranium exposure. The site was eventually closed in 1992 as a
result of contamination to soil and groundwater.
Greater
concern about this plant is an accident and or military strike releasing UF6
into the atmosphere. Upon contact with air, UF6 breaks down to form uranyl
fluorida and hydrogen fluoride, the latter is a highly corrosive chemical, which
cam hazardous if inhaled in sufficient quantities or cause severe burns on
contact with the skin. An explosion resulting in the dispersal of the uranium
stored on the site, would also be highly toxic to populations around the
facilities causing damage to internal organs, particularly the kidneys as well
as increasing the risk of cancer and other genetic defects in affected
populations.
Hazard 3)
Bushehr
Nuclear Reactor
The
Busher Nuclear reactor is only 12 km from Bushehr which has a population of
165000.
Bushehr
is the largest single source of radioactivity in the region. A considerable
risk is presented by the spent fuel pool. Reactor accident can be the tigger
for fuel pool accidents and vice versa, leading to increased radioactive
release. The spent fuels return to the Russian Federation in batches after
about 5 years of post core cooling. If the return of the spent fuels is
delayed, for example for up to fifteen years, the radioactive hazard from the fuel
accumulating in the storage pond will exceed that of the active fuel core of
the reactor.
The
reactors being built at Bushehr have a high energy output, operating at a
higher temperature and pressure, accelerating corrosion of components. Failure
in the steam generators is. A notorious weak point, which can lead to
radioactive release outside the containment and in worst cases to severe
accidents. Similarly cracks appear frequently in the cap on the reactor vessel.
And, as the system involves hydrogen production, hydrogen explosions can occur
in the course of an accident if the integrity of the reactor pressure vessel is
compromised( like what happened in Chernobyl in 1986 ), considerably increasing
the severity of the acciden. Furthermore in two unit plants, an accident in one
reactor can affect the safety of the other.
This type
of reactor also depends more heavily than other types on a complicated safety system,
reliant upon a continuous electricity supply. Emergency systems, and
particularly back up power supplies must be exceptionally reliable especially
with respect to their ability to stand up to natural hazards like earthquakes,
floods and storms.
The
transport of fuel from and particularly the transport of the spent fuel back to
Russia also involves significant risks to human health and the environment.
Whilst
the IAEA has drafted standards for the safe transport of nuclear material, the
reality is that these standards simply do not reflect accident conditions. Spent
fuel casks for example are required to survive drops of only 9 metres and to
resist temperatures of 800 C for up to 30 minutes. Studies have shown that in
real accidents, for example at sea or in tunnels, fires often burn at
temperatures exceeding 800 C and for considerably longer than 30 minutes. Any
air transport crash will undoubtedly involve a drop of more than 9 metres. Waste
storage will continue to present high levels of risk as the plant will be the
largest single source of radioactive wastes in Iran. It is claimed that the
waste produced can be stored and/or discharged to the environment within
authorised limits.
The
chemical/toxic risk from dispersal of uranium into the atmosphere is
significant. As in the case of an incident at Isfahan, an explosion resulting in
the dispersal of the uranium stored on the site would also be highly toxic to
populations around the facility causing damage to internal organs, particularly
the kidneys as well as increasing the risk of cancer. Bushehr is the single
greatest source of radioactive releases in the region, with the potential for a
release associated with a severe accident comparable to or even higher than the
releases from the Chernobyl accident and it will affect whole area around
Persian Gulf countries such as Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the United Arab
Emirates.
Hazard 4)
Natanz-uranium
enrichment plant
Natanz is
located between Isfahan and Kashan in Central Iran. The facility is reportedly
100 miles north of Isfahan, and is located in old Kashan-Natanz, near a village
called Deh-Zireh, itself some 25 miles southest of Kashan. IAEA inspections
have documented two enrichment plants at Natanz a pilot-scale facility planned
to have 1000 centrifuges and a commercial-scale plant under construction. The pilot
plant, started up in June 2003, shut down in December 2003 when Iran
voluntarily suspended enrichment activities. Since February 2006 when Iran
resumed enrichment related activity, Iran has tested small cascades under IAEA
safeguards. Construction on the commercial scale plant was also suspended in
2003, but in April 2006, Iran announced plans to install 3000 centrifuges.
The
dominat hazard comes from the uranium hexaflouride gas and enriched and depleted
uranium used and produced at the facility.
The
importance of the pilot plant, and subsequently the commercial plant to Iran's
long term plans for self sufficiency in enriched uranium, put this facility high
on the list of those at risk of military attack. Iran has officially expressed
its concern to the IAEA about the threat of armed attack on its nuclear
programme.
As with
the Nuclear Technology Research Centre at Isfahan the main consequence would be
the dispersal of the UF6 enriched and depleted uranium on the sit. Dispersal of
uranium would be highly toxic to populations around the facility causing damage
to internal organs, particularly the kidneys, increasing the risk of cancer and
genetic defects in the affected population.
Hazard 5)
Arak
heavy water production plant and heavy water reactor
These
facilities are located at Khondab, a village of some 6000 people in Central
Iran, approximately 52km from Arak. Arak is one of Iran's main industrial
cities, with a population of just over 500000.
The heavy
water production plant was commissioned in mid 2006. The plant has an initial production
capacity of around 8 to 10t/years, expanding to about 15t/y.
Plutonium
Production
Iranian
officials have stated that Iran after trying unsuccessfully to acquire from
abroad a research reactor suitable for medical and industrial isotope
production and for R&D to replace the old research reactor in Tehran.
Iranian officials concluded , that the only alternative was a heavy water
reactor, which could use the UO2 produced in Isfahan. To meet the isotope
production requirements, such a reactor would require power on the order of
30-40 Mw when using natural UO2 fuel.
However,
all nuclear reactors can have a dual use, and this type of reactor in particular
is of a type of often associated with production of plutonium for nuclear
weapons programs. As such this facility certainly increases Iran's
technological options for the production of nuclear weapons should it chose to
do so, with the reactor having the capacity to yield 9 to 12.5kg of plutonium
each year, enough for 2-3 nuclear bombs per annum.


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